Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
