Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 69.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
