Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.