Major League Soccer

Jun 26, 2022 at 3.30am UK

Jeld-Wen Field

Portland
3 - 0
Colorado

Blanco (45+8' pen.), Niezgoda (54', 62')
Chara (27')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Yarbrough (45+6'), Esteves (84'), Toure (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Colorado Rapids, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Portland Timbers 1-0 Colorado Rapids

It would sound like a broken record at this stage to say that both of these teams have underachieved to this point of the campaign, but Portland seem to play their best at home, and with plenty of veterans back in the fold, that should give them a psychological boost, which could make a difference heading into this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 49.37%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Colorado Rapids
49.37% ( -0.05)	24.55% ( -0.03)	26.08% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 54.28% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.03% (

0.19)

47.98% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.85% (

0.17)

70.15% (

-0.17)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.53% (

0.06)

19.47% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.67% (

0.09)

51.33% (

-0.08)

Colorado Rapids Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.4% (

0.16)

32.6% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.86% (

0.18)

69.14% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 49.36%

Colorado Rapids 26.09%

Draw 24.55%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Colorado Rapids
1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 49.36%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.55%	0-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 26.09%