Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 59.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Salt Lake in this match.
