SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 59.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Salt Lake in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Austin FC |
| 59.06% | 22.4% | 18.54% |
| Both teams to score 51.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.74% | 47.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.51% | 69.49% |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.35% | 15.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.33% | 44.67% |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.62% | 39.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.92% | 76.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Austin FC |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% 2-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 6.55% 3-1 @ 6.11% 4-0 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 2.83% 4-2 @ 1.32% 5-0 @ 1.13% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.27% Total : 59.05% | 1-1 @ 10.65% 0-0 @ 6.16% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.4% | 0-1 @ 5.74% 1-2 @ 4.96% 0-2 @ 2.68% 1-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.18% Total : 18.54% |
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