Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match.
