Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
