SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 2 | 42 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 29 | 0 | 42 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 3 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 29 | -14 | 30 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 29 | -12 | 29 |
| 10 | DC United | 29 | -28 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 62.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for DC United had a probability of 15.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | DC United |
62.81% ( 0.17) | 21.34% ( 0.01) | 15.85% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 49.1% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.8% ( -0.39) | 47.2% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.57% ( -0.37) | 69.43% ( 0.37) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.58% ( -0.08) | 14.42% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.66% ( -0.14) | 42.34% ( 0.14) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.37% ( -0.48) | 42.63% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.02% ( -0.41) | 78.97% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 62.8% | 1-1 @ 10.14% 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.85% Total : 21.33% | 0-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.63% Total : 15.85% |
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