Major League Soccer

Aug 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
1 - 0
DC United

Gil (18')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Palsson (81'), Hopkins (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: New England Revolution 2-1 DC United

New England were excellent against Orlando City last time out, so they should have momentum coming into this contest. DC United are capable of picking up a positive result on Saturday, but we believe that the home side will have enough quality to pick up an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 68.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for DC United had a probability of 13.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	DC United
68.3% ( 0.16)	18.53% ( -0.06)	13.16% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 51.52% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.59% (

0.03)

40.41% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.21% (

0.03)

62.79% (

-0.03)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.18% (

0.05)

10.81% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.13% (

0.11)

34.87% (

-0.11)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.77% (

-0.13)

42.22% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.37% (

-0.11)

78.63% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 68.29%

DC United 13.16%

Draw 18.53%

New England Revolution	Draw	DC United
2-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.73% Other @ 4.14% Total : 68.29%	1-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.01% Total : 18.53%	0-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 13.16%