New York City FC and DC United have had contrasting campaigns in the MLS, with Rooney's side sitting rock bottom in the East. The Pigeons have also enjoyed the better of this fixture and we are backing them to make use of their home advantage to claim a fourth straight win over the visitors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 76.29%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for DC United had a probability of 9.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
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