Philadelphia Union have suffered a slump in recent weeks, losing two of their last three games since the start of August. However, next up is an opposing side who have managed just one win in their last 10 games. We predict a one-sided contest with Philadelphia coming away with a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for DC United had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
DC United	Draw	Philadelphia Union
33.27% ( -0.41)	25.83% ( 0.24)	40.9% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 54.29% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.12% (

-1.13)

49.88% (

1.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.13% (

-1.02)

71.87% (

1.02)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.55% (

-0.81)

28.45% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.78% (

-1.03)

64.22% (

1.03)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.88% (

-0.41)

24.12% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.57% (

-0.59)

58.43% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

DC United 33.27%

Philadelphia Union 40.9%

Draw 25.83%

DC United	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.27%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.9%