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FC
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 33
Sep 19, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
NY

Cincinnati
1 - 2
NY City

Brenner (4')
Cameron (48'), Barreal (74')
Barreal (85'), Atanga (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Parks (37'), Castellanos (60' pen.)
Tajouri (26'), Morales (69'), Jasson (77'), Johnson (83'), Callens (90+7'), Callens (90+7')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York City FC
24.22%24.11%51.67%
Both teams to score 53.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.3%47.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.1%69.9%
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.99%34.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.31%70.7%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55%18.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.36%49.64%
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 24.22%
    New York City FC 51.66%
    Draw 24.1%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 6.77%
2-1 @ 6.17%
2-0 @ 3.65%
3-1 @ 2.22%
3-2 @ 1.87%
3-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 24.22%
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 6.28%
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 10.6%
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-2 @ 8.96%
1-3 @ 5.45%
0-3 @ 5.05%
2-3 @ 2.94%
1-4 @ 2.3%
0-4 @ 2.13%
2-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 51.66%

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