Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.