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FC
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 37
Oct 3, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
NY

Cincinnati
0 - 1
NY Red Bulls


Matarrita (90+1'), Acosta (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gutman (73')
Reyes (52')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 48.37%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 25.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-0 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
25.65%25.98%48.37%
Both teams to score 49.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.94%54.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.51%75.49%
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76%36.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.97%73.03%
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.63%22.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14%55.86%
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 25.65%
    New York Red Bulls 48.37%
    Draw 25.98%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 8.23%
2-1 @ 6.25%
2-0 @ 4.18%
3-1 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 1.58%
3-0 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 25.65%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 8.11%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.98%
0-1 @ 12.14%
1-2 @ 9.23%
0-2 @ 9.09%
1-3 @ 4.61%
0-3 @ 4.54%
2-3 @ 2.34%
1-4 @ 1.72%
0-4 @ 1.7%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 48.37%

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