Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
