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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 35
Sep 26, 2021 at 1am UK
Yankee Stadium
NY

NY City
0 - 1
NY Red Bulls


Sands (62'), Castellanos (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fernandez (43')
Tolkin (13'), Duncan (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
58.66%21.57%19.76%
Both teams to score 56.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.18%41.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.77%64.22%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.04%13.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.57%41.43%
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.11%34.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.37%71.63%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 58.66%
    New York Red Bulls 19.76%
    Draw 21.57%
New York City FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.94%
1-0 @ 9.59%
2-0 @ 9.44%
3-1 @ 6.53%
3-0 @ 6.2%
3-2 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 3.21%
4-0 @ 3.05%
4-2 @ 1.69%
5-1 @ 1.27%
5-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 58.66%
1-1 @ 10.09%
2-2 @ 5.23%
0-0 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.57%
1-2 @ 5.32%
0-1 @ 5.13%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.84%
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 19.76%

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