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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | DC United |
| 61.38% | 20.39% | 18.22% |
| Both teams to score 57.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.24% | 38.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.93% | 61.07% |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.82% | 12.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.17% | 37.83% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.29% | 34.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.56% | 71.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | DC United |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.37% 1-0 @ 8.9% 3-1 @ 6.96% 3-0 @ 6.58% 3-2 @ 3.68% 4-1 @ 3.66% 4-0 @ 3.46% 4-2 @ 1.94% 5-1 @ 1.54% 5-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.92% Total : 61.38% | 1-1 @ 9.42% 2-2 @ 5.25% 0-0 @ 4.23% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.39% | 1-2 @ 4.98% 0-1 @ 4.47% 0-2 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.85% 1-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.79% Total : 18.23% |
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