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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 37
Sep 30, 2021 at 3.30am UK
Buck Shaw Stadium
SS

Earthquakes
1 - 3
Seattle

O'Neill (51' og.)
Judson (27')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ruidiaz (25', 42' pen.), Roldan (49')
Ruidiaz (38'), Roldan (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSeattle Sounders
40.85%25.2%33.95%
Both teams to score 56.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.06%46.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.81%69.18%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15%22.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42%56.58%
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4%26.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.17%61.83%
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 40.85%
    Seattle Sounders 33.95%
    Draw 25.19%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSeattle Sounders
1-0 @ 8.97%
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 6.62%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 2.86%
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 40.85%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.08%
2-2 @ 5.81%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.05%
1-2 @ 7.87%
0-2 @ 5.33%
1-3 @ 3.47%
2-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 33.95%

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