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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 34
Sep 19, 2021 at 1am UK
Austin FC Stadium
SJ

Austin
3 - 4
Earthquakes

Driussi (6'), Gallagher (35'), Ring (45')
Pereira (4'), Ring (58'), Stuver (60'), Cascante (69')
Ring (65')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Lopez (17'), Espinoza (49'), Lopez (58' pen., 63')
Espinoza (61'), Marie (72'), Remedi (90+3'), Rios (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 38.17% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.05%) and 0-2 (5.04%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
38.17%22.96%38.87%
Both teams to score 65.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.39%35.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.33%57.67%
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.79%19.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.11%50.9%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11%18.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.63%50.37%
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 38.17%
    San Jose Earthquakes 38.87%
    Draw 22.96%
Austin FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 8.23%
1-0 @ 5.99%
2-0 @ 4.94%
3-1 @ 4.53%
3-2 @ 3.77%
3-0 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 1.87%
4-2 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 38.17%
1-1 @ 9.98%
2-2 @ 6.86%
0-0 @ 3.63%
3-3 @ 2.1%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.96%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-1 @ 6.05%
0-2 @ 5.04%
1-3 @ 4.62%
2-3 @ 3.81%
0-3 @ 2.8%
1-4 @ 1.92%
2-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 38.87%

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