SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 1 | 24 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 14 | 3 | 20 |
| 5 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 1 | 17 |
| 7 | Sporting Kansas City | 17 | -9 | 16 |
| 8 | Toronto | 15 | -8 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 65.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 13.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
65.21% ( -2.22) | 21.1% ( 1.04) | 13.68% ( 1.17) |
| Both teams to score 44.68% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.65% ( -1.72) | 50.35% ( 1.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.71% ( -1.54) | 72.29% ( 1.54) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.31% ( -1.22) | 14.69% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.14% ( -2.4) | 42.86% ( 2.39) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.37% ( 0.81) | 47.63% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.04% ( 0.59) | 82.96% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 13.41% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 12.86% ( -0.25)2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.53)3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.25)4-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.45)4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.25)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.18% Total : 65.19% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.47) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.47)2-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.1% | 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.97% Total : 13.69% |
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