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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 6
May 10, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Children's Mercy Park
AF

Kansas
2 - 1
Austin

Sanchez (82'), Kinda (90+1')
Sanchez (56'), Martins (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gallagher (7')
Romana (42'), Ring (45+1'), D (90')
Ring (67')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 1-0 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Kansas City in this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas CityDrawAustin FC
61.75%19.62%18.62%
Both teams to score 60.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.62%34.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.71%56.29%
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.24%10.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.24%34.76%
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.34%31.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.93%68.07%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Kansas City 61.75%
    Austin FC 18.62%
    Draw 19.62%
Sporting Kansas CityDrawAustin FC
2-1 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 8.47%
1-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 7.24%
3-0 @ 6.29%
3-2 @ 4.16%
4-1 @ 4.03%
4-0 @ 3.51%
4-2 @ 2.32%
5-1 @ 1.8%
5-0 @ 1.56%
5-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 61.75%
1-1 @ 8.74%
2-2 @ 5.6%
0-0 @ 3.41%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 19.62%
1-2 @ 5.03%
0-1 @ 3.92%
0-2 @ 2.25%
2-3 @ 2.15%
1-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 18.62%

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