Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
