Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.