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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 8
May 23, 2021 at 3am UK
Buck Shaw Stadium
SK

Earthquakes
1 - 3
Kansas

Lopez (4')
Espinoza (9'), Rios (49')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lindsey (15'), Pulido (60'), Salloi (75')
Lindsey (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSporting Kansas City
40.59%23.88%35.53%
Both teams to score 61.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.53%40.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.15%62.85%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.81%20.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.51%52.49%
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31%22.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.66%56.33%
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 40.59%
    Sporting Kansas City 35.53%
    Draw 23.88%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 8.7%
1-0 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 5.86%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 3.44%
3-0 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 40.59%
1-1 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 6.45%
0-0 @ 4.58%
3-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 8.06%
0-1 @ 6.79%
0-2 @ 5.04%
1-3 @ 3.99%
2-3 @ 3.19%
0-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.48%
2-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 35.53%

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