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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 11
Jun 20, 2021 at 3.30am UK
Jeld-Wen Field
SK

Portland
2 - 1
Kansas

Asprilla (36'), Loria (45+1')
Zuparic (38'), Zambrano (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lindsey (28')
Fontas (69'), Espinoza (74'), Sanchez (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSporting Kansas City
43.13%24.19%32.68%
Both teams to score 59.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.32%42.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.91%65.09%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.02%19.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.85%52.15%
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67%25.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88%60.12%
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 43.13%
    Sporting Kansas City 32.68%
    Draw 24.19%
Portland TimbersDrawSporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.01%
1-0 @ 8.15%
2-0 @ 6.56%
3-1 @ 4.84%
3-0 @ 3.52%
3-2 @ 3.32%
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 43.13%
1-1 @ 11.19%
2-2 @ 6.19%
0-0 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 7.68%
0-1 @ 6.95%
0-2 @ 4.77%
1-3 @ 3.52%
2-3 @ 2.83%
0-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.21%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 32.68%

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