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MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Nov 4, 2024 at 1.45am UK
BC Place Stadium
LA

Vancouver
3 - 0
Los Angeles

Gauld (10'), Hollingshead (13' og.), Segura (68' og.)
Ahmed (50'), Berhalter (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bouanga (41'), Murillo (84'), Segura (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 2-1 Vancouver
Monday, October 28 at 1.45am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-1 Vancouver
Monday, October 28 at 1.45am in MLS Playoffs

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 Los Angeles FC

While the hosts demonstrated their ability to pose a threat to the visitors in the first leg, the Black and Gold are undoubtedly the superior team, and we anticipate they will secure a victory here to advance to the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawLos Angeles FC
38.19% (0.533 0.53) 24.72% (0.214 0.21) 37.1% (-0.744 -0.74)
Both teams to score 58.78% (-0.796 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.66% (-1.025 -1.03)44.35% (1.028 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.28% (-1.001 -1)66.72% (1.004 1)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.96% (-0.184 -0.18)23.05% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.13% (-0.273 -0.27)56.87% (0.276 0.28)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (-0.84999999999999 -0.85)23.62% (0.852 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.3% (-1.244 -1.24)57.7% (1.247 1.25)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 38.19%
    Los Angeles FC 37.1%
    Draw 24.71%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.073 0.07)
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.308 0.31)
2-0 @ 5.86% (0.195 0.2)
3-1 @ 4.14% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.87% (0.08 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 38.19%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.239 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.71%
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 7.86% (0.153 0.15)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.73% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 37.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-1 Vancouver
Monday, October 28 at 1.45am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Vancouver 5-0 Portland
Thursday, October 24 at 3.30am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-1 Vancouver
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-2 Los Angeles
Monday, October 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-3 Seattle
Thursday, October 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-1 Vancouver
Monday, October 28 at 1.45am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-2 Los Angeles
Monday, October 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 0-3 Los Angeles
Sunday, October 6 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-0 St Louis City
Thursday, October 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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