Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.