Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leamington FC win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leamington FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leamington FC would win this match.