Alfreton
3 - 2
Spennymoor

Branson (40'), Sutton (43'), Rhead (58')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Mulhern (19'), Taylor (67')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Spennymoor Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Spennymoor Town
38.52%	25.27%	36.21%

Both teams to score 56.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.07%

46.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.82%

69.17%

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.97%

24.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.7%

58.29%

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.72%

25.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.95%

60.05%

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 38.52%

Spennymoor Town 36.21%

Draw 25.27%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Spennymoor Town
1-0 @ 8.66% 2-1 @ 8.49% 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.05% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.97% Total : 38.52%	1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.27%	0-1 @ 8.35% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 0.92% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.75% Total : 36.21%