Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 60.18%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
