SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banbury United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Banbury United | Draw | Chorley |
38.45% ( -1.3) | 27.25% ( 0.65) | 34.3% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 49.97% ( -1.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.51% ( -2.48) | 55.49% ( 2.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.33% ( -2.07) | 76.67% ( 2.07) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.97% ( -1.89) | 28.03% ( 1.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.32% ( -2.47) | 63.68% ( 2.47) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.43% ( -0.81) | 30.57% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.2% ( -0.97) | 66.8% ( 0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banbury United | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.31)3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.45% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.79)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.72) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.14% Total : 34.29% |
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