SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Chorley had a probability of 22.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Chorley win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kidderminster Harriers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Chorley |
49.78% ( -1.6) | 27.22% ( 0.99) | 22.99% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 43.64% ( -1.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.61% ( -2.86) | 60.39% ( 2.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.46% ( -2.21) | 80.54% ( 2.21) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.55% ( -1.95) | 24.45% ( 1.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.11% ( -2.83) | 58.89% ( 2.83) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.76% ( -1.04) | 42.24% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.36% ( -0.9) | 78.64% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 14.54% ( 0.72) 2-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.32)3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.4)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.24)Other @ 2.27% Total : 49.77% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 10.32% ( 1.05)2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.68) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.11% Total : 22.99% |
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