SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 63.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chorley in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
63.56% ( -0.04) | 20.15% ( 0.01) | 16.29% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.05% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.88% ( 0) | 41.12% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.49% ( 0) | 63.51% ( -0) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.71% ( -0.01) | 12.29% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.94% ( -0.02) | 38.06% ( 0.02) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.62% ( 0.04) | 38.37% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.87% ( 0.04) | 75.13% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 2-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.94% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.64% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.59% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 3.6% Total : 63.56% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.15% | 1-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.16% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 16.29% |
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