SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 78.7%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Kettering Town had a probability of 7.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.43%) and 1-0 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%), while for a Kettering Town win it was 0-1 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chorley in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Kettering Town |
78.7% ( -0.28) | 14.17% ( 0.27) | 7.14% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.23% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.46% ( -1.26) | 38.54% ( 1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.16% ( -1.35) | 60.84% ( 1.35) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.11% ( -0.34) | 7.88% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.08% ( -0.89) | 27.91% ( 0.89) |
| Kettering Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.93% ( -0.84) | 53.07% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.31% ( -0.54) | 86.69% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Kettering Town |
| 2-0 @ 13.5% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.1)1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.45)2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.1)6-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.09)6-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.15% Total : 78.69% | 1-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.54% Total : 14.17% | 0-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 7.14% |
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