SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 75.92%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 8.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 3-0 (10.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
75.92% ( -0.09) | 15.6% ( 0.04) | 8.47% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 44.57% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.55% ( 0.01) | 40.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.18% ( 0.01) | 62.82% ( -0.02) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.03% ( -0.02) | 8.96% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.42% ( -0.04) | 30.57% ( 0.04) |
| Farsley Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.96% ( 0.13) | 51.04% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.63% ( 0.09) | 85.36% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
| 2-0 @ 13.3% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.2% ( 0)4-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.34% 5-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.09% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.6% Total : 75.92% | 1-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.6% Total : 15.61% | 0-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 8.47% |
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