SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 48.27%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Buxton |
26.64% ( -0.01) | 25.09% ( 0.19) | 48.27% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 53.03% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.16% ( -0.78) | 49.83% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.16% ( -0.7) | 71.83% ( 0.69) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.85% ( -0.42) | 33.14% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.25% ( -0.47) | 69.74% ( 0.46) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% ( -0.4) | 20.67% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.74% ( -0.62) | 53.25% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 26.64% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.62% Total : 48.27% |
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