SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Blyth Spartans |
46.61% ( 0.05) | 24.88% ( -0.02) | 28.51% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.24% ( 0.05) | 47.76% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.05% ( 0.05) | 69.95% ( -0.05) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( 0.04) | 20.54% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.95% ( 0.07) | 53.05% ( -0.07) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.37% ( 0) | 30.63% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.13% ( 0) | 66.87% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Blyth Spartans |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 46.61% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.51% |
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