SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boston United | Draw | Chester FC |
40.06% ( -0.07) | 24.5% ( 0.01) | 35.44% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 59.4% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.53% ( -0.04) | 43.47% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.13% ( -0.04) | 65.87% ( 0.04) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.27% ( -0.05) | 21.73% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.1% ( -0.08) | 54.89% ( 0.08) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( 0.02) | 24.11% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.59% ( 0.02) | 58.41% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston United | Draw | Chester FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 40.06% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.44% |
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