Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for Southport had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chester FC in this match.

Result
Chester FC	Draw	Southport
46.49% ( -0.1)	24.65% ( 0)	28.86% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 56.14% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.47% (

0.03)

46.53% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.19% (

0.03)

68.81% (

-0.03)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.91% (

-0.03)

20.09% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.67% (

-0.05)

52.34% (

0.05)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.26% (

0.09)

29.74% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.19% (

0.1)

65.81% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Chester FC 46.5%

Southport 28.86%

Draw 24.64%

Chester FC	Draw	Southport
1-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 46.5%	1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.64%	0-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 28.86%