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National League North | Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park

Brackley Town
1 - 0
Boston

FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Boston United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Buxton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 0-1 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest Boston United win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.

Result
Brackley TownDrawBoston United
40.86% (2.98 2.98) 29.41% (0.012 0.01) 29.72% (-2.993 -2.99)
Both teams to score 42.66% (-0.869 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.01% (-0.652 -0.65)63.99% (0.651 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.82% (-0.468 -0.47)83.18% (0.467 0.47)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (1.465 1.46)30.8% (-1.465 -1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (1.689 1.69)67.08% (-1.69 -1.69)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.65% (-2.615 -2.62)38.35% (2.615 2.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.89% (-2.598 -2.6)75.1% (2.598 2.6)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 40.86%
    Boston United 29.72%
    Draw 29.41%
Brackley TownDrawBoston United
1-0 @ 13.91% (0.87 0.87)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.814 0.81)
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.26 0.26)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.434 0.43)
3-1 @ 3.08% (0.219 0.22)
3-2 @ 1.48% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.16 0.16)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 40.86%
1-1 @ 13.33% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 11.81% (0.28 0.28)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.41%
0-1 @ 11.32% (-0.54 -0.54)
1-2 @ 6.39% (-0.517 -0.52)
0-2 @ 5.43% (-0.68 -0.68)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.328 -0.33)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.361 -0.36)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 29.72%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Buxton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 2-2 Brackley Town
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Fylde
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 0-1 Brackley Town
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-1 Hereford
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 0-1 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 2-4 Hereford
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-2 Boston
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 1-2 Boston
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 3-0 Buxton
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 3-2 Boston
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League North


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