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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Gloucester City |
50.95% ( 6.63) | 25.17% ( -1.14) | 23.87% ( -5.49) |
| Both teams to score 50.17% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.67% ( 0.89) | 52.33% ( -0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.97% ( 0.76) | 74.02% ( -0.77) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.45% ( 3.35) | 20.54% ( -3.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.94% ( 5.04) | 53.06% ( -5.04) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.14% ( -4.03) | 36.85% ( 4.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.35% ( -4.25) | 73.64% ( 4.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Gloucester City |
| 1-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.76) 2-0 @ 9.48% ( 1.44)2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.51)3-0 @ 5% ( 1.17)3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.72)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.61)4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.45)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.59% Total : 50.94% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.54) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.26)Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( -1.18) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -1)0-2 @ 3.77% ( -1.09)1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.6)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.28)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.55)Other @ 1.76% Total : 23.87% |
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