SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Darlington in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Darlington |
35.5% ( 0) | 27.8% ( -0.01) | 36.71% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 48.4% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.5% ( 0.02) | 57.5% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.71% ( 0.02) | 78.3% ( -0.02) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.2% ( 0.01) | 30.81% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.93% ( 0.02) | 67.08% ( -0.01) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.95% ( 0.01) | 30.05% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.82% ( 0.02) | 66.18% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.42% 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.5% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.69% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.71% |
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