SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Kettering Town had a probability of 23.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Kettering Town win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Kettering Town |
51.8% ( 0.12) | 24.75% ( -0.17) | 23.45% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.99% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.98% ( 0.72) | 51.02% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.11% ( 0.63) | 72.88% ( -0.63) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.32% ( 0.33) | 19.68% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.33% ( 0.54) | 51.67% ( -0.53) |
| Kettering Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.48% ( 0.45) | 36.52% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.69% ( 0.45) | 73.31% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Kettering Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.86% Total : 51.8% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 23.45% |
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