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National League North | Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Jakemans Stadium

Boston
1 - 1
Curzon Ashton

Knowles (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Matthews (83')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Boston United and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Scunthorpe 2-2 Boston
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Boston UnitedDrawCurzon Ashton
41.24% (0.255 0.26) 26.05% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 32.71% (-0.263 -0.26)
Both teams to score 53.41% (-0.114 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.06% (-0.11 -0.11)50.94% (0.113 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1)72.81% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.58% (0.084000000000003 0.08)24.42% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.15% (0.115 0.12)58.84% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.67% (-0.22500000000001 -0.23)29.33% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.69% (-0.275 -0.27)65.31% (0.27900000000001 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Boston United 41.23%
    Curzon Ashton 32.71%
    Draw 26.05%
Boston UnitedDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 10.09% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 41.23%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.033 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 8.78% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 32.71%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Scunthorpe 2-2 Boston
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 2-0 King's Lynn
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 1-2 Boston
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 3-1 Alfreton
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 0-0 Boston
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-1 Boston
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-3 Curzon Ashton
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 3-2 Southport
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 4-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 3-0 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 2-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League North


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