Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boston United | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
41.24% ( 0.26) | 26.05% ( 0.01) | 32.71% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 53.41% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.06% ( -0.11) | 50.94% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.19% ( -0.1) | 72.81% ( 0.1) |
Boston United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.58% ( 0.08) | 24.42% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.15% ( 0.12) | 58.84% ( -0.11) |
Curzon Ashton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.67% ( -0.23) | 29.33% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.69% ( -0.27) | 65.31% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Boston United | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.7% Total : 41.23% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 32.71% |
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