SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
37.51% ( -0.56) | 25.79% ( 0.06) | 36.71% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 54.98% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.78% ( -0.26) | 49.22% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.72% ( -0.23) | 71.28% ( 0.23) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.37% ( -0.43) | 25.63% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.48% ( -0.59) | 60.52% ( 0.59) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.92% ( 0.16) | 26.08% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.87% ( 0.22) | 61.13% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.52% Total : 37.51% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.71% |
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