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National League North | Gameweek 16
Dec 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
New Meadow Park (Gloucester, Gloucestershire)

Gloucester City
3 - 0
Curzon Ashton

Hanks (9'), Wright (72'), Santos (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gloucester City 0-1 Darlington
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 2-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.

Result
Gloucester CityDrawCurzon Ashton
37.51% (-0.562 -0.56) 25.79% (0.064 0.06) 36.71% (0.498 0.5)
Both teams to score 54.98% (-0.197 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78% (-0.259 -0.26)49.22% (0.258 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.72% (-0.234 -0.23)71.28% (0.233 0.23)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (-0.429 -0.43)25.63% (0.43 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48% (-0.587 -0.59)60.52% (0.586 0.59)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (0.16200000000001 0.16)26.08% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.87% (0.219 0.22)61.13% (-0.22 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Gloucester City 37.51%
    Curzon Ashton 36.71%
    Draw 25.78%
Gloucester CityDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 37.51%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.136 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.04% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.68% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.71% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.51%
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 36.71%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Gloucester City 0-1 Darlington
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 2-1 P'boro Sports
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 4-2 Spennymoor
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Gloucester City
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 2-0 Gloucester City
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-3 Warrington Town
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 2-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-1 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 0-1 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: South Shields 0-0 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 3-1 Blyth Spartans
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-0 Bishop's Stortford
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North


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