SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 65.18%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Southport had a probability of 14.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Southport |
65.18% ( 0.09) | 20.04% ( -0.02) | 14.79% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.8% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.38% ( -0.03) | 43.62% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.99% ( -0.03) | 66.01% ( 0.02) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.41% ( 0.01) | 12.59% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.32% ( 0.03) | 38.68% ( -0.04) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.12% ( -0.11) | 41.88% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.66% ( -0.09) | 78.33% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Southport |
| 2-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.53% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 65.17% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 20.04% | 0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.62% Total : 14.79% |
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