SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Chester FC | 41 | -1 | 46 |
| 17 | Gloucester City | 41 | -13 | 45 |
| 18 | Bradford Park Avenue | 41 | -19 | 44 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Brackley Town | 41 | 30 | 86 |
| 3 | Fylde | 41 | 30 | 77 |
| 4 | Kidderminster Harriers | 41 | 36 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Fylde |
| 27.09% | 25.94% | 46.97% |
| Both teams to score 50.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.05% | 52.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.45% | 74.55% |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.55% | 34.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.84% | 71.16% |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% | 22.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.89% | 56.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Fylde |
| 1-0 @ 8.27% 2-1 @ 6.57% 2-0 @ 4.41% 3-1 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.2% Total : 27.09% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 11.56% 1-2 @ 9.19% 0-2 @ 8.62% 1-3 @ 4.56% 0-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.13% Total : 46.97% |
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