Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 61.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 16.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Boston United win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
