Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 40%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fylde in this match.