Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Boston United win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.
