Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Guiseley had a probability of 17.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Guiseley win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston United would win this match.
