Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Guiseley had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Guiseley win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
