Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for Guiseley had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Guiseley win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
